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That is a tough question to answer because there are so many levels of running fitness. An adult male runner that has been training might be able to run at under a 5:00 mile pace so they could easily run 1.5 miles in 7:00. An unfit adult male who doesn't work out or is a smoker probably couldn't run a mile so at a walking pace they could do it in just over 20:00. Unfortunately I think the latter is more predominate, but if you are working out and jogging regularly 15:00 (or a 10:00 mile pace) sounds reasonable.
To Add to this: I am in the military, work full time (more actually) and am good physical shape. I'm 28. I ran the 1.5 run in 10:10 today. I run many miles a week to be able to get that time. As far as the 7:00 1.5 run, good freaking luck! I have never in my 6.5 yrs in the military seen any 'regular' (meaning non-collegiate/olympic runner) person achieve a time that low. The lowest of the 'regular' people that train hard has been 9:00 or low 9:00's. The time alloted for the 1.5 run is 12:45. This time was created by Dr. Kenneth Cooper from Cooper's Institute in Dallas, TX. Look it up. Thanks.
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MaxineUnder 8 minutes is a high level of fitness and under 9 minutes is moderate level of fitness. Considering the majority of 50 year old males don't run you would have to say around 12 to 13 minutes. Cut out the population of 50 year old males who do not run and it probably drops to 10 minutes.
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