I've been to two Sharks games in my life. I set upper level the first game, and 3 rows from the glass the second. I got a game puck the second game I went to when the puck hit the glass and flew over the top. So the odds of getting a puck are 50% I'd have to say. Ha ha ha. Thanks to Jason Demers for autographing it too!
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Let's just say the odds go up depending on how close you are to a Baseball game. Very high if you are the player at bat. Extremely low if you are sitting on a beach in a country where they don't play baseball.
If you are sitting at a baseball game, in the stands, the best number I can find is 1 in 297,723. Apparently stadiums don't keep very good records on this kind of thing.
Depending on where you sit little to nothing. If you sit in the corner by any of the nets a lot of dumps go out of the rink there but if you sit low you should be good!