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As like most things in a horse race, nothing is ever a sure bet. The odds favorite is more or less an educated guess. It is never written in stone. That is why the horse that was the 'long shot' wins once in a while. Seabiscuit was a habitual 'long shot' early in his career. As he became more successful his odds went up. I always think if you want a sure thing you should ask the horses.
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