How do you calculate expected goals in soccer matches?

Answer 1

Expected goals (xG) in soccer matches are calculated using statistical models that analyze various factors such as shot location, shot angle, distance from goal, and other variables to determine the likelihood of a shot resulting in a goal. These models assign a numerical value to each shot based on its probability of scoring, with higher values indicating a higher likelihood of scoring. By summing up the xG values of all shots taken by a team in a match, you can calculate the expected goals for that team in that particular game.